Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets in April 2026?

Market strongly favors NO for Musk posting 60-79 tweets in April 2026.

The prediction market shows a dominant NO probability of 99.95% for Elon Musk posting 60-79 tweets in April 2026, indicating a strong consensus against this outcome. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, albeit with a slightly higher YES probability of 2.05%. With a confidence level of 75/100 and a time to expiry of 1219 hours, the market appears fairly priced.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors NO at 99.95%.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher likelihood for YES at 2.05%.
• 3 Market confidence is moderate at 75/100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 4 Time to expiry is substantial at 1219 hours, allowing for potential shifts.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 2.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.