Will Elon Musk post 600-639 tweets in March 2026?

Market strongly favors NO for Musk posting 600-639 tweets in March 2026.

The prediction market indicates a high probability (99.7%) that Elon Musk will not post 600-639 tweets in March 2026. This aligns with the Pulse AI probability, which also shows a strong preference for the NO outcome at 96.2%, suggesting a consensus against the likelihood of such tweet volume.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors the NO outcome.
• 2 Historical tweeting patterns of Musk suggest lower tweet volumes.
• 3 Market probability appears well-aligned with AI predictions.
• 4 Time to expiry is relatively short, adding urgency to the market.
• 5 Low liquidity may affect market responsiveness to new information.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of March 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.