Will Elon Musk post 640-679 tweets in March 2026?

Low probability for Musk posting 640-679 tweets in March 2026.

The market indicates a strong belief that Elon Musk will not post between 640-679 tweets in March 2026, with a probability of 99.15% for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also reflects a low likelihood, suggesting a consensus that this tweet volume is unlikely based on current trends.

• 1 Market shows overwhelming confidence in a 'NO' outcome.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher chance for 'YES' than the market.
• 3 Current sentiment leans heavily against high tweet volume.
• 4 Time to expiry is relatively short at 554 hours.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 3.5.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of March 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.