Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?

Market favors fewer than 65-89 tweets from Musk during the specified dates.

The prediction market indicates a higher likelihood that Elon Musk will post fewer than 65-89 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026. With a market probability of 71.5% for 'NO', participants seem to expect limited tweeting activity during this period, despite a slightly higher AI probability for 'YES'.

• 1 Current market sentiment leans heavily towards fewer tweets.
• 2 The edge of 3.5 suggests the market is fairly priced.
• 3 Confidence level of 60/100 indicates moderate certainty in predictions.
• 4 Time to expiry is short at 74 hours, adding urgency to market dynamics.
• 5 AI probability slightly favors more tweets, but not significantly.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 16 12:00 PM ET to March 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.