Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?

Market favors fewer than 65 tweets from Musk during the specified dates.

The prediction market shows a higher probability for Elon Musk posting fewer than 65 tweets between March 19 and March 21, 2026, with a NO probability of 64.5%. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, indicating a consensus that Musk is unlikely to tweet within the specified range.

• 1 Current market probability favors fewer tweets than the specified range.
• 2 Pulse AI shows a slightly higher probability for YES compared to the market.
• 3 Market confidence is moderate at 60/100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 4 Time to expiry is short at 66 hours, adding urgency to market dynamics.
• 5 The edge of 3.5 suggests the market is fairly priced based on current data.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 19 12:00 PM ET to March 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.