Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?

Market favors fewer than 65 tweets from Elon Musk during the specified dates.

The market indicates a strong belief that Elon Musk will not post between 65 and 89 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026, with a probability of 72.5% for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, suggesting a consensus that Musk's tweeting activity will likely fall below this range.

• 1 Current market probability leans heavily towards 'NO' at 72.5%.
• 2 Pulse AI probability is slightly higher for 'YES' at 31%, indicating some uncertainty.
• 3 The edge of 3.5 suggests the market is fairly priced based on current data.
• 4 Confidence level of 60/100 indicates moderate certainty in the predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry is 80 hours, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment before the deadline.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 23 12:00 PM ET to March 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.