Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?

Market favors fewer than 65 tweets from Musk between March 26-28, 2026.

The prediction market indicates a 65% probability that Elon Musk will post fewer than 65 tweets during the specified period. This aligns closely with the Pulse AI probability, suggesting a consensus that Musk's tweeting activity may be limited. The confidence level of 60/100 reflects moderate certainty in this prediction.

• 1 Current market probability shows a strong lean towards fewer tweets.
• 2 Pulse AI probability is slightly higher than market consensus, indicating some uncertainty.
• 3 The edge of 3.5 suggests the market is fairly priced at this time.
• 4 Confidence level of 60/100 indicates moderate belief in the prediction.
• 5 Time to expiry is short, adding urgency to any potential shifts in sentiment.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 26 12:00 PM ET to March 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.