Will Elon Musk post 660-679 tweets in April 2026?

Market strongly favors NO for Musk tweeting 660-679 times in April 2026.

The prediction market shows a high probability of 99.05% for NO, indicating skepticism about Musk's tweeting frequency reaching the specified range. The Pulse AI also aligns with this sentiment, suggesting a low likelihood of such activity. The edge of 3.5 indicates that the market is fairly priced relative to the AI's assessment.

• 1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly against Musk tweeting 660-679 times.
• 2 The market probability suggests a strong belief in lower tweet volume.
• 3 The AI probability indicates a slight chance of higher activity, but still low.
• 4 The edge score reflects a balanced market without significant mispricing.
• 5 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.