Will Elon Musk post 720-759 tweets in March 2026?

Market predicts Elon Musk will tweet less than 720 times in March 2026.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Elon Musk posting 720-759 tweets in March 2026, with a 99.75% probability for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, indicating a low likelihood of reaching the specified tweet count.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors fewer tweets than projected.
• 2 Historical tweeting patterns suggest lower tweet counts in similar timeframes.
• 3 Market liquidity appears stable, supporting current pricing.
• 4 Time to expiry is relatively short, adding urgency to predictions.
• 5 Confidence level indicates moderate certainty in the market's assessment.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of March 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.