Will Elon Musk post 760-799 tweets in March 2026?

Market strongly favors NO for Musk tweeting 760-799 times in March 2026.

The prediction market indicates a high probability of NO at 99.5%, suggesting that participants believe Musk will tweet fewer than 760 times in March 2026. The Pulse AI also reflects a low probability of YES at 4%, reinforcing the consensus against the higher tweet count. With a confidence level of 60/100 and a time to expiry of 514 hours, the market appears to be fairly priced.

• 1 Current sentiment heavily favors a lower tweet count from Musk.
• 2 Market probability suggests a strong belief in Musk tweeting less than 760 times.
• 3 Historical tweeting patterns may influence future expectations.
• 4 Liquidity in the market is moderate, reflecting cautious engagement.
• 5 Time pressure is relatively low with over 500 hours until expiry.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of March 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.