Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

The market overwhelmingly predicts Elon Musk will not post 80-99 tweets during the specified period.

Current market probabilities indicate a strong consensus that Elon Musk will not post 80-99 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026. With a market probability of 0% for 'YES' and 100% for 'NO', this suggests a high level of confidence in the prediction. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this assessment, reinforcing the belief that such tweet activity is unlikely.

• 1 Market shows a strong consensus with 100% probability for 'NO'.
• 2 Pulse AI probability closely mirrors market sentiment at 99% for 'NO'.
• 3 High confidence level of 95/100 indicates strong belief in the prediction.
• 4 The edge of 1 suggests the market is fairly priced with little room for mispricing.
• 5 Lack of time pressure may contribute to the stability of current probabilities.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 17 12:00 PM ET to March 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.