Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets in March 2026?

The market strongly favors that Elon Musk will not post 80-99 tweets in March 2026.

Current market sentiment indicates a 100% probability that Elon Musk will not post 80-99 tweets in March 2026. The Pulse AI also supports this view, suggesting a very low likelihood of such activity. With a confidence level of 85/100, the market appears to be fairly priced based on the available data.

• 1 Market shows a strong consensus against Musk tweeting 80-99 times.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a slight chance of Musk exceeding this tweet count.
• 3 Current market probability is stable with no signs of volatility.
• 4 Time to expiry is relatively short at 534 hours, adding urgency.
• 5 The edge of 2 indicates the market is likely well-priced based on current expectations.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of March 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.