Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?

The market favors fewer than 90 tweets from Musk during the specified dates.

Current market probabilities indicate a strong belief that Elon Musk will not post between 90 and 114 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026. The market probability stands at 72.5% for 'NO', suggesting skepticism about Musk's tweeting frequency during this timeframe. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, albeit with slightly higher probabilities for 'YES'.

• 1 Market probability indicates a strong preference for fewer tweets.
• 2 Pulse verdict aligns with market sentiment, favoring 'NO'.
• 3 Current confidence level is moderate at 60/100.
• 4 Time to expiry is relatively short at 65 hours, adding urgency.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with a low edge of 3.5.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 19 12:00 PM ET to March 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.