Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?

Market favors fewer than 90-114 tweets from Musk during the specified dates.

The prediction market indicates a 71% probability that Elon Musk will post fewer than 90-114 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026. With a confidence level of 60/100 and a fairly priced edge of 3.5, the market sentiment leans towards a lower tweet volume than the specified range.

• 1 Current market probability shows a strong lean towards 'NO'.
• 2 Pulse AI probability is slightly higher for 'YES' but still below 35%.
• 3 Market confidence is moderate at 60/100, indicating uncertainty.
• 4 The edge of 3.5 suggests the market is relatively well-balanced.
• 5 Time to expiry is short at 82 hours, increasing potential volatility.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 23 12:00 PM ET to March 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.