Market strongly favors NO for Musk's net worth being between $670b and $680b on March 31.
The prediction market shows a high probability of 99.15% for NO, indicating strong sentiment against Musk's net worth being within the specified range. The Pulse AI probability also supports this view, albeit at a lower rate of 2.35% for YES, suggesting a significant divergence in expectations. With a confidence level of 60/100 and a time to expiry of 50 hours, the market appears fairly priced with an edge of 1.5.
This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on March 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for March 31, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.