Will Finland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?

Finland has a high probability of advancing in the Eurovision Semi-Final.

The market indicates a strong belief that Finland will advance, with a probability of 92.60%. This aligns closely with the Pulse AI's assessment of 91.1%, suggesting that the market is fairly priced with a slight edge of -1.5. Confidence in this prediction is moderate at 60 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors Finland's advancement.
• 2 The probability gap between market and AI is minimal, indicating alignment.
• 3 The confidence level suggests moderate certainty in the prediction.
• 4 Time to expiry is significant, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment.
• 5 Liquidity appears stable, reflecting consistent interest in this market.

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.