Will "Frankenstein" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?

The market strongly favors 'Frankenstein' not winning any Oscars.

'Frankenstein' is currently projected to win no awards at the Oscars, with a market probability of 100% for NO. The Pulse AI also reflects this sentiment, indicating a very low chance of a single award win, suggesting strong consensus against its recognition.

• 1 Current market sentiment overwhelmingly favors a NO outcome.
• 2 The probability of YES is extremely low at 1%, indicating minimal belief in a win.
• 3 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 1.
• 4 Confidence level is high at 85/100, suggesting strong conviction in the NO outcome.
• 5 Time to expiry remains unknown, adding uncertainty to potential shifts.

The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2026, the 98th Academy Awards are scheduled to take place on March 15, 2026. "Frankenstein" has been nominated for 9 Oscars.

This market will resolve according to the number of Oscars won by the film "Frankenstein" or by people for their roles in that film at the 98th Academy Awards.

If for any reason no winners are declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.