Will gas hit (High) $4.00 by March 31?

Market indicates a high likelihood of gas prices reaching $4.00 by March 31.

The prediction market shows an 85.5% probability that gas prices will hit $4.00 by the end of March, aligning closely with the Pulse AI's estimate of 84%. With a confidence level of 65 out of 100 and a time to expiry of 91 hours, the market appears fairly priced with a slight edge of -1.5.

• 1 Current sentiment strongly favors a price increase.
• 2 Market probability suggests robust confidence in reaching $4.00.
• 3 Historical trends show similar price movements in this timeframe.
• 4 Liquidity appears stable, supporting current market pricing.
• 5 Time pressure is building as the expiry date approaches.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and March 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the first two digits of the reported price (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.157, this market will resolve to the "$3.15" bracket).

The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automotive Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg.".