Market indicates low probability of gas reaching $4.25 by March 31.
The prediction market shows a strong consensus against gas prices hitting $4.25 by the end of March, with a 97.65% probability for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, suggesting that current market conditions do not favor a significant price increase in the near term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and March 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the first two digits of the reported price (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.157, this market will resolve to the "$3.15" bracket).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automotive Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg.".