Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by March 31?

Market indicates low probability of gas hitting $4.50 by March 31.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against gas prices reaching $4.50, with a 98.7% likelihood of NO. The Pulse AI also supports this view, albeit with a slightly higher probability for YES at 2.8%, suggesting some minor uncertainty in the market.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors NO at 98.7%.
• 2 Pulse AI indicates a slightly higher probability for YES at 2.8%.
• 3 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 1.5.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 65 out of 100.
• 5 Time to expiry is relatively short at 91 hours, adding urgency.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and March 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the first two digits of the reported price (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.157, this market will resolve to the "$3.15" bracket).

The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automotive Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg.".