Will gas hit (Low) $3.05 by March 31?

The market strongly favors gas not hitting $3.05 by March 31.

With a market probability of 98.95% for 'NO', there is a strong consensus against gas prices reaching $3.05 by the deadline. The Pulse AI probability also aligns closely, indicating a slight edge for the current market pricing. Overall confidence is moderate at 65/100, suggesting some uncertainty remains.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors 'NO'.
• 2 The probability gap indicates a well-priced market.
• 3 Historical trends suggest gas prices are unlikely to drop significantly.
• 4 Liquidity appears stable, with no major fluctuations noted.
• 5 Time pressure is limited with only 91 hours until expiry.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and March 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the first two digits of the reported price (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.157, this market will resolve to the "$3.15" bracket).

The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automotive Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg.".