Will Georgia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?

Georgia's chances to advance in the Eurovision Semi-Final are closely contested.

The market shows a slight preference for Georgia not advancing, with a 53% NO probability compared to 47% YES. The Pulse AI probability aligns closely, indicating a balanced outlook. With a confidence level of 55/100, the market reflects uncertainty as the event approaches.

• 1 Market probabilities are closely matched, indicating uncertainty.
• 2 Current sentiment leans slightly against Georgia advancing.
• 3 The edge of 1.5 suggests the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Time to expiry is significant, allowing for potential shifts.
• 5 Confidence level indicates moderate conviction in the current odds.

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.