Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?

Georgia has a very low chance of winning Eurovision 2026 according to market data.

The prediction market indicates a 0.60% probability for Georgia winning Eurovision 2026, while the Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher 1%. With a strong consensus on the 'NO' side, the market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 75 out of 100. The time to expiry is significant, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment as the event approaches.

• 1 Market probability for 'YES' is very low at 0.60%.
• 2 Pulse AI probability aligns closely with market, indicating skepticism.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 75/100, suggesting some uncertainty.
• 4 Time to expiry is long at 1627 hours, allowing for potential changes.
• 5 Current market sentiment heavily favors 'NO' with 99.4% probability.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.