Will Greece advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?

Greece has a high probability of advancing in the Eurovision Semi-Final.

The prediction market indicates a strong likelihood of Greece advancing, with a market probability of 94.50%. This aligns closely with the Pulse AI probability of 93%, suggesting consensus on Greece's favorable position. The edge of -1.5 indicates that the market is fairly priced, reflecting a balanced view among participants.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors Greece's advancement.
• 2 The high probability suggests confidence in Greece's entry.
• 3 Market pricing indicates no significant misalignment.
• 4 Time to expiry allows for potential shifts in public opinion.
• 5 Liquidity appears stable, supporting current market dynamics.

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.