Will Greece be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?

Greece has a low chance of winning the Jury Award in Eurovision 2026.

The prediction market indicates a 1.15% probability for Greece to win the Jury Award, with a strong consensus against it. The Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher probability of 2.65%, but overall sentiment remains firmly in favor of a NO outcome. With 1235 hours until the event, there is still time for shifts in public sentiment or other influencing factors.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors a NO outcome for Greece.
• 2 The probability gap between market and AI suggests a fairly priced market.
• 3 Greece's historical performance in Eurovision may influence perceptions.
• 4 Liquidity appears stable, with no major fluctuations in betting volume.
• 5 Time until the event allows for potential changes in public opinion.

The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.

This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the professional juries in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.

All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.