Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?

Greece has a low chance of winning Eurovision 2026 at 6.35%.

The current market probability indicates a strong belief that Greece will not win Eurovision 2026, with a 93.65% chance of a NO outcome. The market appears fairly priced, suggesting that participants have a consensus on Greece's prospects in this competition.

• 1 Market shows low confidence in Greece's chances at 6.35%.
• 2 Strong NO sentiment reflects historical performance trends.
• 3 Current market pricing indicates no edge for bettors.
• 4 Time until the event is substantial at 1640 hours.
• 5 Potential for volatility with upcoming song and artist reveals.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.