Will Hao-Tong Li win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?

Hao-Tong Li is highly unlikely to win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational.

The current market shows a 0% probability for Hao-Tong Li winning the event, indicating a strong consensus against his chances. The Pulse AI also reflects this sentiment with a 1% probability for a win, suggesting that market participants do not expect him to perform favorably. Overall, the market appears fairly priced with a high confidence level.

• 1 Market sentiment strongly favors a NO outcome for Li's win.
• 2 Current probabilities suggest minimal belief in Li's chances.
• 3 The edge indicates the market is accurately priced.
• 4 High confidence level suggests stability in market opinions.
• 5 No imminent events are expected to significantly alter predictions.

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard tournament.

If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".

If an unlisted player wins the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard tournament this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If no winner is announced by March 14, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).