Will Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?

The market strongly favors a NO outcome for Matsuyama at the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational.

Current market probabilities indicate a 100% NO likelihood for Hideki Matsuyama winning the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment with a 99% NO probability, suggesting a strong consensus against his chances. The market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 90 out of 100.

• 1 Market shows a strong consensus against Matsuyama winning.
• 2 Current sentiment is overwhelmingly negative for his chances.
• 3 Historical performance may influence future expectations.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable with no significant fluctuations.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to future predictions.

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard tournament.

If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".

If an unlisted player wins the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard tournament this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If no winner is announced by March 14, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).