Will Israel be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?

Israel is unlikely to win the Eurovision 2026 Jury Vote according to current probabilities.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Israel winning the Jury Vote at Eurovision 2026, with a 99.15% probability for 'NO'. This aligns with the Pulse AI probability of 97.15%, indicating a general lack of confidence in Israel's chances for this specific outcome.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a 'NO' outcome for Israel's Jury win.
• 2 The probability gap suggests low confidence in Israel's chances.
• 3 Historical performance may influence perceptions of Israel's competitiveness.
• 4 Liquidity in the market appears stable, reflecting consistent participant interest.
• 5 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential shifts in public opinion.

The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.

This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the professional juries in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.

All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.