Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 4?

The market indicates a 100% probability that Ben Gurion Airport will not reopen by March 4.

Current market sentiment strongly favors a NO outcome for the reopening of Ben Gurion Airport by March 4, with a 100% probability assigned. The Pulse AI also reflects this sentiment, showing a 98% probability for NO, suggesting a high level of confidence in this prediction. The edge of 2 indicates that the market is fairly priced, with little room for speculation.

• 1 Market probability strongly favors NO at 100%.
• 2 Pulse AI aligns closely with market, showing 98% for NO.
• 3 High confidence level of 95/100 suggests strong consensus.
• 4 Edge of 2 indicates fair market pricing with low speculation.
• 5 Time to expiry is 392 hours, allowing for potential developments.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel's Ben Gurion Airport (TLV) opens to any departures or arrivals between market creation and the specified date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes" arrivals and departures from TLV must be open to scheduling by Israeli citizens or the general public and at least one civilian departure or arrival must have occurred. These conditions must be true at the same time. An announcement that TVA has reopened alone will not qualify.

Rescue, repatriation, evacuation, military, humanitarian, or other special-purpose flights that are not bookable by the general public or not considered ordinary civilian flights will not count toward the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source will be information from TVA and the Israel Airports Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.