The market shows a low probability for It Was Just An Accident to win Best International Feature Film.
With a market probability of 8.70% for a win, It Was Just An Accident is considered a long shot for the Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards. The Pulse AI probability is slightly higher at 12.2%, indicating some uncertainty but still favoring a NO outcome. The edge of 3.5 suggests that the market is fairly priced based on current sentiment and analysis.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed movie that wins the 98th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best International Feature Film when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.