Will Jack O'Connell win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Jack O'Connell is highly unlikely to win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards.

The prediction market indicates a 0% probability of Jack O'Connell winning the award, suggesting strong consensus against his chances. With a market edge of 2 and a confidence level of 80/100, the current pricing appears accurate. The Pulse AI also reflects a low probability of 2%, reinforcing the market's stance.

• 1 Market consensus strongly favors a NO outcome for O'Connell's win.
• 2 Current sentiment indicates minimal support for his candidacy.
• 3 Historical data shows low likelihood for similar candidates in this category.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable with clear pricing.
• 5 Time pressure is limited with only 117 hours until the event.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.

If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.