Will J.J. Spaun win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?

J.J. Spaun is highly unlikely to win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against J.J. Spaun winning the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational, with a 100% probability of NO. The Pulse AI also reflects this sentiment, assigning a 99% probability to the NO outcome, indicating a low expectation for Spaun's success in this event.

• 1 Market consensus is overwhelmingly against Spaun winning.
• 2 Current sentiment reflects low confidence in Spaun's chances.
• 3 Historical performance may not support a win for Spaun.
• 4 Market appears fairly priced with a slight edge noted.
• 5 No imminent time pressure affecting market dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard tournament.

If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".

If an unlisted player wins the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard tournament this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If no winner is announced by March 14, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).