Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?

The market strongly favors that Jumanji 3 will not be the top grossing movie of 2026.

With a market probability of 99.5% for 'NO', there is a strong consensus against Jumanji 3 being the top grossing film. The Pulse AI also reflects this sentiment with a 97.5% probability for 'NO', indicating a significant divergence from the 0.50% 'YES' probability. Overall, the market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 80 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors 'NO' for Jumanji 3's grossing potential.
• 2 The probability of 0.50% for 'YES' suggests minimal confidence in its success.
• 3 Historical performance of sequels may impact audience interest and box office results.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable, reflecting consistent trading activity.
• 5 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential shifts in market sentiment.

This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available.

Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.

In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.

If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.