Will Keith Mitchell win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?

Keith Mitchell is unlikely to win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational according to market data.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Keith Mitchell winning the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational, with a 100% probability of NO. The AI probability also reflects this sentiment, indicating a minimal chance of victory at 1%. This suggests that current evaluations of his performance and competition are not favorable for his potential success in this event.

• 1 Market consensus strongly favors a NO outcome for Mitchell's win.
• 2 AI probability aligns closely with market data, indicating reliability.
• 3 Confidence level is high at 90/100, suggesting strong conviction in the prediction.
• 4 Current performance trends do not favor Mitchell as a contender.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 1.

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard tournament.

If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".

If an unlisted player wins the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard tournament this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If no winner is announced by March 14, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).