Will Khamenei tweet again on March 17, 2026?

High probability of Khamenei tweeting on March 17, 2026, but NO side may be undervalued.

The market shows a strong inclination towards Khamenei tweeting again, with a 79% probability for YES. However, the Pulse AI probability suggests a lower likelihood at 71.5%, indicating that the NO side might be undervalued by 7.5 points. With 145 hours until expiry, there is still time for sentiment to shift.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a YES outcome at 79%.
• 2 Pulse AI indicates a lower probability of 71.5% for a YES tweet.
• 3 The NO side appears undervalued by 7.5 points, suggesting potential for reevaluation.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100, reflecting some uncertainty.
• 5 145 hours remain until the market closes, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if an official X profile of Supreme Leader of Iran Ali Khamenei posts/tweets again between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Posts include any post, repost, or reply.

The resolution source for this market are Khamenei's official X profiles: https://x.com/khamenei_ir, https://x.com/KhameneiBangla, https://x.com/az_Khamenei, https://x.com/Khamenei_fa, https://x.com/ar_Khamenei, https://x.com/Khamenei_Heb. Posts/tweets from any other account will not qualify.