Will Kyle Fraser win Survivor Season 50?

Kyle Fraser has a very low chance of winning Survivor Season 50.

The prediction market shows a 0.05% probability for Kyle Fraser to win, indicating strong skepticism about his chances. The Pulse AI probability suggests a slightly higher chance at 1.55%, but both figures reflect a consensus that he is unlikely to succeed. With a confidence rating of 60/100 and a time to expiry of 1573 hours, the market appears to be fairly priced.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome for Fraser.
• 2 The low probability indicates minimal confidence in Fraser's winning potential.
• 3 Historical performance trends suggest underdogs rarely win in Survivor.
• 4 Liquidity in the market appears stable with no significant fluctuations.
• 5 Time remaining allows for potential shifts in public perception or gameplay.

This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50.

If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season.

The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.