Will Lady Gaga have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?

Lady Gaga is unlikely to have the most Spotify listeners this month.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Lady Gaga having the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners, with a 99.9% probability for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, indicating a low likelihood of her achieving this status.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors 'NO' at 99.9%.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher chance for 'YES' at 3.6%.
• 3 The edge of 3.5 indicates the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100, suggesting some uncertainty.
• 5 Time to expiry is 385 hours, allowing for potential changes in listener dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the listed artist with the greatest number of monthly listeners according to Spotify on March 31, 2026, 12PM ET.

The monthly listener count is listed on each artist's public Spotify profile. Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not count towards the featured artist's total.

In the event of an exact tie for the number of monthly listeners, this market will resolve in favor of the listed artist whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

If Spotify is down at the listed time on the listed date, this market will resolve based on the most recent available data.

The resolution source for this market will be Spotify.