Will Larry Ellison be richest person on March 31?

Low probability for Larry Ellison to be the richest person on March 31.

The market shows a strong consensus against Larry Ellison being the richest person, with a 99.95% probability for 'NO'. The AI probability also reflects this sentiment, albeit with a slightly higher chance for 'YES' at 1.55%, indicating a low likelihood of a significant change in wealth rankings before the deadline.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors 'NO' at 99.95%.
• 2 AI probability suggests a slightly higher chance for 'YES' at 1.55%.
• 3 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 1.5.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 5 Time to expiry is short at 87 hours, limiting potential for major changes.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on March 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by April 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.