Will Lithuania be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?

Lithuania is unlikely to win the Jury Vote at Eurovision 2026 based on current probabilities.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Lithuania winning the Jury Vote, with a 99.65% probability for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also reflects a low likelihood, indicating that current sentiment and analysis do not favor Lithuania's chances in this category.

• 1 Current market probability heavily favors 'NO' at 99.65%.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher chance for 'YES' at 1.85%.
• 3 The edge of 1.5 indicates the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level of 60/100 suggests moderate certainty in the prediction.
• 5 Time to expiry is substantial at 1235 hours, allowing for potential changes.

The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.

This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the professional juries in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.

All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.