Will Little Amelie or the Character of Rain win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?

The market favors 'NO' for Little Amelie winning Best Animated Feature.

The current market probability indicates a strong belief that Little Amelie will not win Best Animated Feature Film, with a 99.3% chance for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also supports this view, suggesting a low likelihood of victory for Little Amelie at 4.2%. The edge of 3.5 indicates the market is fairly priced given the current sentiment and probabilities.

• 1 Market strongly favors 'NO' with 99.3% probability.
• 2 Pulse AI aligns with market, showing 95.8% for 'NO'.
• 3 Edge of 3.5 suggests fair pricing in the market.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100.
• 5 Time to expiry is short at 37 hours, increasing urgency.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed movie that wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Animated Feature Film.

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Animated Feature Film when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.