Will Marco Penge win the 2026 Valspar Championship?

Marco Penge is highly unlikely to win the 2026 Valspar Championship.

The prediction market indicates a very low probability of Marco Penge winning the 2026 Valspar Championship, with a market probability of only 0.05% for a YES outcome. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, suggesting a consensus that Penge's chances are minimal. Given the edge of 0.95, the market appears to be fairly priced based on current information.

• 1 Market probability shows overwhelming confidence in a NO outcome.
• 2 Pulse AI aligns closely with market sentiment, indicating low expectations.
• 3 Current confidence level is moderate at 65/100, suggesting some uncertainty.
• 4 The edge of 0.95 indicates the market is well-aligned with expectations.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding an element of unpredictability.

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Valspar Championship tournament.

If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Valspar Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".

If an unlisted player wins the Valspar Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If no winner is announced by March 28, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).