Will Matthieu Pavon win the 2026 Valspar Championship?

Pavon has a low chance of winning the 2026 Valspar Championship at 20.35%.

The market indicates a 20.35% probability of Matthieu Pavon winning the 2026 Valspar Championship, with a stronger consensus against his victory at 79.65%. The Pulse AI offers a slightly higher probability of 25.35%, suggesting some uncertainty in the market's confidence level.

• 1 Current market sentiment leans heavily against Pavon winning.
• 2 The edge of 5 indicates insufficient data for a confident assessment.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 50/100, reflecting uncertainty.
• 4 Time to expiry is short at 39 hours, increasing urgency in market dynamics.
• 5 Pavon's historical performance may influence future probabilities.

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Valspar Championship tournament.

If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Valspar Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".

If an unlisted player wins the Valspar Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If no winner is announced by March 28, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).