Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?

The market shows a close probability for Carrick's appointment as Manchester United manager.

With a market probability of 51.50% for 'YES' and 48.5% for 'NO', the odds indicate a nearly even split on Carrick's potential appointment. The Pulse AI probability aligns closely at 50% for both outcomes, suggesting a balanced view among participants. The edge of -1.5 indicates that the market is fairly priced, reflecting uncertainty in the decision.

• 1 Market probability indicates a slight lean towards Carrick's appointment.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests an even split, reflecting uncertainty among traders.
• 3 The confidence level of 60/100 indicates moderate belief in the current probabilities.
• 4 Time to expiry is significant, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment.
• 5 Recent performance and news could heavily influence market dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Manchester United.

If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."

Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.

An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Manchester United; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.