Will Montenegro be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?

Montenegro is highly unlikely to win the Eurovision 2026 Jury Vote.

The prediction market indicates a very low probability of Montenegro winning the Jury Vote at 0.75%. This aligns closely with the Pulse AI probability of 1%, suggesting a consensus on the unlikelihood of this outcome. The market appears fairly priced with a slight edge of 0.25.

• 1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly against Montenegro winning.
• 2 The probability of 0.75% suggests minimal confidence in a win.
• 3 Historical performance of Montenegro in Eurovision may influence perceptions.
• 4 Liquidity in the market appears stable, reflecting consistent betting patterns.
• 5 Time to expiry is significant, with 1235 hours remaining for potential shifts.

The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.

This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the professional juries in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.

All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.