Will MrBeast hit 500 Million subscribers by March 31?

The market strongly favors MrBeast not reaching 500 million subscribers by March 31.

With a market probability of 99.85% for 'NO', it suggests a strong consensus against MrBeast hitting 500 million subscribers by the deadline. The Pulse AI probability also indicates a low likelihood, though slightly higher at 1.65%. The edge of 1.5 indicates that the market is fairly priced based on current sentiment and expectations.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors 'NO' at 99.85%.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher probability for 'YES' at 1.65%.
• 3 The edge of 1.5 indicates the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 65/100, reflecting some uncertainty.
• 5 Time to expiry is 374 hours, allowing for potential shifts in subscriber growth.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast) hits the specified number of subscribers by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast) or a consensus of credible reporting.