Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1?

The market strongly favors that MrBeast's next video will not reach 40-50 million views in its first week.

With a market probability of 99.85% for 'NO', the consensus is that MrBeast's upcoming video is unlikely to achieve between 40 and 50 million views in its first week. The Pulse AI also supports this view, albeit with a slightly higher probability for 'YES' at 1%. The edge of 0.85 suggests that the market is fairly priced, reflecting a solid level of confidence.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a 'NO' outcome.
• 2 The high probability for 'NO' indicates strong confidence in the prediction.
• 3 Historical performance of MrBeast's videos may influence expectations.
• 4 Liquidity in the market appears stable, reflecting consistent participant interest.
• 5 Time pressure of 501 hours could impact last-minute sentiment shifts.

This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast after this market's creation gets in the first 7 days after being posted.

If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.

Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.