Will Netanyahu visit NYC by March 31?

Low probability of Netanyahu visiting NYC by March 31.

The prediction market shows a strong inclination against Netanyahu visiting NYC, with a 94.75% probability for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, albeit slightly higher for a potential visit. With a confidence level of 65/100, the market appears fairly priced with a slight edge.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a 'NO' outcome.
• 2 The probability gap suggests a consensus against the visit.
• 3 Historical patterns indicate low frequency of such visits under current conditions.
• 4 Liquidity in the market appears stable, reflecting consistent interest.
• 5 Time pressure is moderate with 511 hours until expiry.

If Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu visits New York City by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Netanyahu physically entering the terrestrial territory of New York City, and setting foot on the ground. Whether or not Netanyahu enters New York City's airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Israel, the United States, or New York City, or official information from Netanyahu or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/netanyahu); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.