Will Nick Taylor win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?

Low probability for Nick Taylor to win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational.

The prediction market shows a 0.05% chance of Nick Taylor winning, indicating strong skepticism about his prospects. The Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher probability of 1.55%, but overall sentiment remains firmly against his chances. The market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 60 out of 100.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors a NO outcome at 99.95%.
• 2 Pulse AI indicates a slightly higher chance for YES at 1.55%.
• 3 Confidence in the market's pricing is moderate at 60/100.
• 4 Current sentiment reflects skepticism about Taylor's winning potential.
• 5 Time to expiry for the market is currently unknown.

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard tournament.

If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".

If an unlisted player wins the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard tournament this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If no winner is announced by March 14, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).