Will No Other Choice win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?

No Other Choice is highly unlikely to win Best Cinematography at the Oscars.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against No Other Choice winning, with a 100% probability for NO. The Pulse AI also reflects this sentiment, indicating a very low chance of victory at 2%. With 111 hours until the event, the market appears to be fairly priced with a confidence level of 80 out of 100.

• 1 Market probability strongly favors NO at 100%.
• 2 Pulse AI probability aligns closely with market at 98% for NO.
• 3 Confidence level of 80 suggests solid market stability.
• 4 Time to expiry is 111 hours, allowing for potential last-minute changes.
• 5 Edge of 2 indicates the market is fairly priced with little room for fluctuation.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed movie that wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Cinematography.

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Cinematography when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.